Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.080918 0.090440 0.100164 0.110808 0.122103 0.133702 0.146489
2025-06-01 0.061867 0.075656 0.090455 0.107383 0.126078 0.145976 0.168634
2025-06-08 0.049436 0.065495 0.083484 0.104810 0.129104 0.155650 0.186589
2025-06-15 0.042903 0.060822 0.081612 0.106959 0.136516 0.169438 0.208443
2025-06-22 0.037214 0.056327 0.079248 0.107913 0.142029 0.180659 0.227055
2025-06-29 0.034429 0.054995 0.080325 0.112632 0.151683 0.196438 0.250730
2025-07-06 0.030225 0.051363 0.078187 0.113143 0.156094 0.205946 0.267041
2025-07-13 0.029888 0.052752 0.082294 0.121278 0.169632 0.226156 0.295825
2025-07-20 0.025320 0.047903 0.078038 0.118684 0.169918 0.230533 0.305957
2025-07-27 0.023841 0.047255 0.079169 0.122820 0.178398 0.244638 0.327542
2025-08-03 0.021376 0.044918 0.077855 0.123663 0.182682 0.253632 0.343022
2025-08-10 0.019418 0.043148 0.077168 0.125210 0.187766 0.263541 0.359567
2025-08-17 0.017259 0.041036 0.076119 0.126538 0.192977 0.274141 0.377659
2025-08-24 0.014008 0.036777 0.071777 0.123297 0.192282 0.277500 0.387104
2025-08-31 0.011338 0.033098 0.067989 0.120579 0.192088 0.281358 0.397074
2025-09-07 0.010166 0.031957 0.067905 0.122928 0.198482 0.293428 0.417100
2025-09-14 0.008851 0.030342 0.066959 0.123968 0.203083 0.303211 0.434308
2025-09-21 0.008472 0.030552 0.068871 0.129093 0.213155 0.319953 0.460174
2025-09-28 0.007291 0.028900 0.067677 0.129647 0.217033 0.328795 0.476239
2025-10-05 0.007646 0.030652 0.072099 0.138464 0.232156 0.352074 0.510363
2025-10-12 0.006067 0.027785 0.068706 0.135655 0.231387 0.354936 0.518982
2025-10-19 0.005753 0.027843 0.070220 0.140133 0.240597 0.370658 0.543737
2025-10-26 0.004970 0.026589 0.069397 0.141045 0.244864 0.379984 0.560468